Analysis of animals that occur in groups

Author

Centre for Research into Ecological and Environmental Modelling
University of St Andrews

Modified

November 2024

Analysis of animals that occur in groups

Distance for Windows exercise Solution

Project Browser results

Below is an abbreviated set of Project Browser results of the 8 fitted models.

Striking features from the Results Browser is the strong preference (in \(\Delta\)AIC score) for models that contain cluster size in the detection function model. Contrast the adjusted cluster size estimates (whether by regression or by use of cluster size as a detection function covariate) with the average size of detected clusters of 7.2. Observe the knock-on effect of the estimate average group sizes upon the estimates of abundance of individuals.

Analysis Num par Delta AIC Adjusted ClusSize Adjusted CS CV N(indiv) N(indiv) LCL N(indiv) UCL Bootstrap
hn cos average group size 2 22.4 NA NA 31655 25889 38705
unif cos size regression 2 24.9 6.3 0.026 26106 21665 31457
hr poly size regression 2 23.7 6.1 0.026 27749 20917 36813
hn size bootstrap 2 3.3 6.5 0.020 25449 22787 27868 bootstrap
hr size bootstrap 3 0.0 5.7 0.183 27704 23343 34598 bootstrap
hr poly average size 2 23.7 NA NA 32673 24666 43278
hn cos group size regression 2 22.4 6.2 0.026 27142 22150 33258
unif cos average size 2 24.9 NA NA 29858 24837 35893

Interval estimates of abundance

All confidence intervals for estimates of individual abundance include the true value, however, each of the estimates using the average cluster size of detected clusters as an estimate of average cluster size in the population are positively biased. Positively biased to the extent that the lower confidence limits only just include the true value of 26000.

For further experimentation

A DistWin project with the 8 completed analyses is available for download if you wish to further explore the data set and conduct additional analyses.